The decline in growth in China is contributing to depressing the prices of commodities and the knock-on effect for Africa, Latin America and even Australia is depressing their economies. The economic pain in Latin America …
March 2015
Russia has to be considered to be at a crossroads. The Kremlin’s propaganda against the West and internal dissidents is taking on a life of its own and it is difficult to see how Mr Putin, even if he wanted to, can roll this tide back. The West will have to play a careful game…
January 2015
A view of the world must include a reference to the Ukraine. This unholy mess is potentially a major headwind for European stability and it is difficult to see how it can be resolved. Hopefully at the least it can be contained and possible discussions that are scheduled …
November 2014
These enormous economic changes leave us with a certainty that predicting the course of events is a lot more difficult and policies that try to maintain the status quo are doomed. This is particularly relevant in Europe where….
October 2014
In general, the instabilities we are seeing are relatively benign, but the road to Christmas still has a few bumps in it…..
August 2014
Global trade and a great deal of prosperity generated over the last decade or so has depended on the free movement of goods and people. In the last few months there has been an insidious and growing disruption to both. The shooting down of the Malaysian airliner over Ukraine has caused a hidden but very major disruption to airline routes. It had been assumed that airlines …