The combined hit to both demand and supply sides means that the COVID 19 recession will be a departure from the those seen in the 1930s and 2008: inflation is indeed likely. The risk is that the recovery may cause
Quarantine Reads…
Some suggested quarantine reads from beyond the ERC (None of these are endorsements, purely signposting for those interested!)
The Impact of Covid 19 on Global Growth Projections
Researchers from Imperial College London predicting that ‘transmission will quickly rebound if interventions are relaxed.’. If this causes reintroduction of measures, then a double-dip recession looms. Indeed, should the spread of the virus maintain this pace, a sustained decline is