Clash of the Titans 2016 Rankings

 Below are this year’s Titans’ predictions in more detail:

 

Graham Gudgin (Cambridge) 

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.5 (-0.2)	0.3 (0.0)	0.4 (0.0)	0.2 (0.0)
Inflation	1.4 (+0.2)	3.0 (0.0)	3.0 (0.0)	4.1 (0.0)
Unemployment	4.6 (-0.2)	4.6 (0.0)	4.7 (0.0)	4.7 (0.0)
Interest Rates	0.3 (0.0)	0.5 (+0.25)	1.0 (0.0)	1.25 (0.0)
Average Earnings	2.9 (+0.3)	3.6 (0.0)	3.2 (0.0)	3.2 (0.0)
Gold Price High	$1350 (+92 so far)

 

 

 

Vicky Pryce (LSE) 

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.3 (-0.4)	0.1 (0.0)	0.2 (0.0)	0.2 (0.0)
Inflation	1.4 (+0.2)	2.5 (0.0)	2.5 (0.0)	2.4 (0.0)
Unemployment	4.9 (+0.1)	5.1 (0.0)	5.2 (0.0)	5.2 (0.0)
Interest Rates	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)
Average Earnings	2.1 (-0.5)	2.2 (0.0)	2.3 (0.0)	2.3 (0.0)
Gold Price High	$1950 (+692 so far)

 

 *Please note, Vicky’s predictions were revised on 5/12/16, after the event.

 

Paul Ormerod (Oxford) 

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.7 (0.0)	0.6 (0.0)	0.6 (0.0)	0.5 (0.0)
Inflation	0.9 (-0.3)	1.3 (0.0)	1.2 (0.0)	1.2  (0.0)
Unemployment	4.8 (0.0)	4.8 (0.0)	4.8 (0.0)	4.9 (0.0)
Interest Rates	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)	0.5 (0.0)	0.5 (0.0)
Average Earnings	2.3 (-0.3)	2.0 (0.0)	1.8 (0.0)	1.7 (0.0)
Gold Price High	$1525 (+267)

 

 

Actual Data

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.7	28/04/2017	26/07/2017	25/10/2017
Inflation	1.2	11/04/17	18/07/2017	17/10/2017
Unemployment	4.8	17/05/2017	16/08/2017	15/11/2017
Interest Rates	0.3	0.3 (so far)	15/06/2017	14/09/2017
Average Earnings	2.6	17/05/2017	16/08/2017	15/11/2017
Gold Price High	$1257.64  (24th February)

 

(Dates indicate when they will be announced)

 

Average Forecast 

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.2
Inflation	1.2	1.4	2.5	2.8
Unemployment	4.8	5.0	5.1	5.1
Interest Rates	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.5
Average Earnings	2.0	1.8	1.6	1.8
Gold Price High	$1450