
Below are this 2017’s Titans’ predictions in more detail:
Graham Gudgin (Cambridge)
|
Q4 ’16 |
Q1 ’17 |
Q2 ’17 |
Q3 ’17 |
GDP |
0.5 (-0.2) |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.4 (0.0) |
0.2 (0.0) |
Inflation |
1.4 (+0.2) |
3.0 (+0.9) |
3.0 (0.0) |
4.1 (0.0) |
Unemployment |
4.6 (-0.2) |
4.6 (0.0) |
4.7 (0.0) |
4.7 (0.0) |
Interest Rates |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.5 (+0.25) |
1.0 (0.0) |
1.25 (0.0) |
Average Earnings |
2.9 (+0.3) |
3.6 (0.0) |
3.2 (0.0) |
3.2 (0.0) |
Gold Price High |
$1350 (+58 so far) |
Vicky Pryce (LSE)
|
Q4 ’16 |
Q1 ’17 |
Q2 ’17 |
Q3 ’17 |
GDP |
0.3 (-0.4) |
0.1 (-0.2) |
0.2 (0.0) |
0.2 (0.0) |
Inflation |
1.4 (+0.2) |
2.5 (+0.4) |
2.5 (0.0) |
2.4 (0.0) |
Unemployment |
4.9 (+0.1) |
5.1 (0.0) |
5.2 (0.0) |
5.2 (0.0) |
Interest Rates |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.3 (0.0) |
Average Earnings |
2.1 (-0.5) |
2.2 (0.0) |
2.3 (0.0) |
2.3 (0.0) |
Gold Price High |
$1950 (+658 so far) |
*Please note, Vicky’s predictions were revised on 5/12/16, after the event.
Paul Ormerod (Oxford)
|
Q4 ’16 |
Q1 ’17 |
Q2 ’17 |
Q3 ’17 |
GDP |
0.7 (0.0) |
0.6 (+0.3) |
0.6 (0.0) |
0.5 (0.0) |
Inflation |
0.9 (-0.3) |
1.3 (-0.8) |
1.2 (0.0) |
1.2 (0.0) |
Unemployment |
4.8 (0.0) |
4.8 (0.0) |
4.8 (0.0) |
4.9 (0.0) |
Interest Rates |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.3 (0.0) |
0.5 (0.0) |
0.5 (0.0) |
Average Earnings |
2.3 (-0.3) |
2.0 (0.0) |
1.8 (0.0) |
1.7 (0.0) |
Gold Price High |
$1525 (+233 so far) |
Actual Data
|
Q4 ’16 |
Q1 ’17 |
Q2 ’17 |
Q3 ’17 |
GDP |
0.7 |
0.3 |
26/07/2017 |
25/10/2017 |
Inflation |
1.2 |
2.1 |
18/07/2017 |
17/10/2017 |
Unemployment |
4.8 |
17/05/2017 |
16/08/2017 |
15/11/2017 |
Interest Rates |
0.3 |
0.3 |
15/06/2017 |
14/09/2017 |
Average Earnings |
2.6 |
17/05/2017 |
16/08/2017 |
15/11/2017 |
Gold Price High |
$1291.70 (18th April) |
(Dates indicate when they will be announced)
Average Forecast
|
Q4 ’16 |
Q1 ’17 |
Q2 ’17 |
Q3 ’17 |
GDP |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Inflation |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
Unemployment |
4.8 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
Interest Rates |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Average Earnings |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
Gold Price High |
$1450 |