2016 Clash Of The Titans Summary Of Predictions

Clash Of The Titans summary of predictions

Below are this 2017’s Titans’ predictions in more detail:

Graham Gudgin (Cambridge)

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.5 (-0.2)	0.3 (0.0)	0.4 (0.0)	0.2 (0.0)
Inflation	1.4 (+0.2)	3.0 (+0.9)	3.0 (0.0)	4.1 (0.0)
Unemployment	4.6 (-0.2)	4.6 (0.0)	4.7 (0.0)	4.7 (0.0)
Interest Rates	0.3 (0.0)	0.5 (+0.25)	1.0 (0.0)	1.25 (0.0)
Average Earnings	2.9 (+0.3)	3.6 (0.0)	3.2 (0.0)	3.2 (0.0)
Gold Price High	$1350 (+58 so far)

Vicky Pryce (LSE)

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.3 (-0.4)	0.1 (-0.2)	0.2 (0.0)	0.2 (0.0)
Inflation	1.4 (+0.2)	2.5 (+0.4)	2.5 (0.0)	2.4 (0.0)
Unemployment	4.9 (+0.1)	5.1 (0.0)	5.2 (0.0)	5.2 (0.0)
Interest Rates	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)
Average Earnings	2.1 (-0.5)	2.2 (0.0)	2.3 (0.0)	2.3 (0.0)
Gold Price High	$1950 (+658 so far)

*Please note, Vicky’s predictions were revised on 5/12/16, after the event.

Paul Ormerod (Oxford)

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.7 (0.0)	0.6 (+0.3)	0.6 (0.0)	0.5 (0.0)
Inflation	0.9 (-0.3)	1.3 (-0.8)	1.2 (0.0)	1.2 (0.0)
Unemployment	4.8 (0.0)	4.8 (0.0)	4.8 (0.0)	4.9 (0.0)
Interest Rates	0.3 (0.0)	0.3 (0.0)	0.5 (0.0)	0.5 (0.0)
Average Earnings	2.3 (-0.3)	2.0 (0.0)	1.8 (0.0)	1.7 (0.0)
Gold Price High	$1525 (+233 so far)

Actual Data

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.7	0.3	26/07/2017	25/10/2017
Inflation	1.2	2.1	18/07/2017	17/10/2017
Unemployment	4.8	17/05/2017	16/08/2017	15/11/2017
Interest Rates	0.3	0.3	15/06/2017	14/09/2017
Average Earnings	2.6	17/05/2017	16/08/2017	15/11/2017
Gold Price High	$1291.70 (18th April)

(Dates indicate when they will be announced)

Average Forecast

	Q4 ’16	Q1 ’17	Q2 ’17	Q3 ’17
GDP	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.2
Inflation	1.2	1.4	2.5	2.8
Unemployment	4.8	5.0	5.1	5.1
Interest Rates	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.5
Average Earnings	2.0	1.8	1.6	1.8
Gold Price High	$1450